Multi-Agent Modeling and Simulation on China's Marine Energy Channel Security

Authors

Yongchen Guo, College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China;
Shen Yang, College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China;

Abstract

Abstract: Security factors influencing China's offshore energy channel are analyzed, and the actual situation of China's oil import and transportation is described. Based on multi-agent modeling and simulation method, and starting at the micro level, the energy transport process is simulated and a multi-agent model of China's offshore energy channel (middle east lines) is built; and the simulation program on the NetLogo platform is conducted. The results show that the quantity of China’s VLCC is far from enough; the security impact of tropical cyclones is more serious than that of pirates; the increase proportion of carrier’s quantity is usually lower than that of the total oil transportation, while the larger the increase proportion of pirates and tropical cyclones, the faster the change proportion of total oil transportation.

Recommended Citation

Guo, Yongchen and Yang, Shen (2019) "Multi-Agent Modeling and Simulation on China's Marine Energy Channel Security," Journal of System Simulation: Vol. 31: Iss. 4, Article 8.
DOI: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.17-0125
Available at: https://dc-china-simulation.researchcommons.org/journal/vol31/iss4/8

First Page

655

Revised Date

2017-07-23

DOI Link

https://doi.org/10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.17-0125

Last Page

670

CLC

TP391.9

Recommended Citation

Guo Yongchen, Shen Yang. Multi-Agent Modeling and Simulation on China's Marine Energy Channel Security[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2019, 31(4): 655-670.

DOI

10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.17-0125