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Journal of System Simulation

Abstract

Abstract: In order to solve the problem that logical Petri net can not describe dynamic game process well, logical game probabilistic Petri net is proposed. The four elements of the game are integrated into the logical Petri net, and the players of the game are defined as an attribute of Token, for which the strategy set and utility function are defined, and the information database is introduced. Probability change and vector are introduced to represent the transformation relationship of empirical probability in the process of game, and fuzzy theory is introduced on the basis of Bayes formula to solve the problem of information loss in the early stage of decision making, and decision change is introduced to help rational people make decisions. Logical game probability Petri net was used to model the subway emergency decision-making process, and the system reachable graph was constructed to analyze the problem. Tina simulation was used to verify the model properties, the feasibility of the proposed method was also verified.

First Page

1602

Last Page

1618

CLC

TP391.9

Recommended Citation

Yan Zhe, Liu Wei, Du Yuyue. Modeling and Analysis of Metro Emergency Decision Based on Logical Game Probability Petri Net[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2023, 35(7): 1602-1618.

Corresponding Author

Wei Liu, liuwei_doctor@yeah.net

DOI

10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.22-0355

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