Assessment Model of Conflict Probability at Airport Surface Intersection

Authors

Weijun Pan, 1. Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China;;
Xiaolin Luo, 2. Northwest Regional Air Traffic Management Bureau of Civil Aviation of China, Xi’an 710082, China;;
Kang Rui, 1. Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China;;
Chenyu Huang, 1. Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China;;
Zhenghong Xia, 1. Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China;;
Wenbin Qiu, 3. Southwest Regional Air Traffic Management Bureau of Civil Aviation of China, Chengdu 610202, China;

Abstract

Abstract: Based on aircraft characteristics, the assessment model of conflict probability at airport surface intersection was studied to ensure the safety of airport ground safety. The engine jet effect distance was introduced to expand the scope of intersection conflict, describing the process of aircraft conflict. The model with the actual operation data was verified, and the speed interval's impact on the model was analyzed and discussed. In the view of three motion states of aircraft, this model analyzed the variations in conflict probability. When speed variation range is 0.5m/s, probability analysis of the conflict is more ideal, and can improve the accuracy of calculating the probability of conflict under the premise of objective reality. The results show that: decelerating and holding avoidance measures can reduce the aircraft conflict probability effectively, thus defending the occurrence of accidents. This method can accurately calculate the conflict probability of aircraft, suitable for aircraft ground conflict alert.

Recommended Citation

Pan, Weijun; Luo, Xiaolin; Rui, Kang; Huang, Chenyu; Xia, Zhenghong; and Qiu, Wenbin (2020) "Assessment Model of Conflict Probability at Airport Surface Intersection," Journal of System Simulation: Vol. 28: Iss. 12, Article 6.
DOI: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.201612006
Available at: https://dc-china-simulation.researchcommons.org/journal/vol28/iss12/6

First Page

2918

Revised Date

2015-09-02

DOI Link

https://doi.org/10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.201612006

Last Page

2924

CLC

V355

Recommended Citation

Pan Weijun, Luo Xiaolin, Kang Rui, Huang Chenyu, Xia Zhenghong, Qiu Wenbin. Assessment Model of Conflict Probability at Airport Surface Intersection[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2016, 28(12): 2918-2924.

DOI

10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.201612006