Research on Emergency Risk Decision Simulation Based on Multi-agent and Prospect Theory

Authors

Wang Jian, 1. School of Artificial Intelligence and Automation, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China;;2. Key Laboratory for Image Information Processing and Intelligent controlling of Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430074, China;
Chenqi Situ, 1. School of Artificial Intelligence and Automation, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China;;2. Key Laboratory for Image Information Processing and Intelligent controlling of Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430074, China;
Shengqiang Yuan, 1. School of Artificial Intelligence and Automation, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China;;2. Key Laboratory for Image Information Processing and Intelligent controlling of Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430074, China;

Abstract

Abstract: Focusing on the modeling and the simulation of emergency response risk decision that multi-sections involve in, a simulation model and simulation framework based on multi-agent and prospect theory are proposed. By introducing agent theory, the multi-agent architecture model of emergency risk decision is described and the decision agent are modelled. By introducing prospect theory, following the dynamic evolution of emergencies, the impact of the psychological changes of the decision-makers have on the decision results is studied. The multi-agent emergency risk decision simulation framework is designed and implemented. Taking the risk decision of a fire emergency in the petrochemical plants as an example, the availability and the feasibility of the model and the framework are verified.

Recommended Citation

Jian, Wang; Situ, Chenqi; and Yuan, Shengqiang (2020) "Research on Emergency Risk Decision Simulation Based on Multi-agent and Prospect Theory," Journal of System Simulation: Vol. 32: Iss. 3, Article 2.
DOI: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.18-0153
Available at: https://dc-china-simulation.researchcommons.org/journal/vol32/iss3/2

First Page

353

Revised Date

2018-07-17

DOI Link

https://doi.org/10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.18-0153

Last Page

361

CLC

TP391.9

Recommended Citation

Wang Jian, Situ Chenqi, Yuan Shengqiang. Research on Emergency Risk Decision Simulation Based on Multi-agent and Prospect Theory[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2020, 32(3): 353-361.

DOI

10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.18-0153